Arch Capital Group Stock Analysis

ACGL Stock  USD 100.95  1.03  1.01%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Arch Capital Group extending back to September 14, 1995. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Arch Capital stands at 100.95, as last reported on the 8th of February, with the highest price reaching 103.39 and the lowest price hitting 100.75 during the day.
IPO Date
13th of September 1995
200 Day MA
91.4835
50 Day MA
94.3602
Beta
0.381
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Arch Capital Group holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23. At this time, Arch Capital's Debt To Equity is quite stable compared to the past year. Interest Debt Per Share is expected to rise to 7.28 this year, although the value of Long Term Debt Total will most likely fall to about 1.7 B. Arch Capital's financial risk is the risk to Arch Capital stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Arch Capital's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Arch Capital's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Arch Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Arch Capital's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Arch Capital, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Arch Capital Group, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Arch Capital's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
1.6158
Price Sales
1.9279
Shares Float
350.1 M
Wall Street Target Price
107.9474
Earnings Share
10.67
At this time, Arch Capital's Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is quite stable compared to the past year. . At this time, Arch Capital's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to rise to 4.91 this year, although the value of Price Earnings Ratio will most likely fall to 8.72.
Arch Capital Group is undervalued with Real Value of 112.22 and Target Price of 107.95. The main objective of Arch Capital stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Arch Capital Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Arch Capital's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Arch Capital stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arch Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Arch Stock Analysis Notes

About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.62. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Arch Capital Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.24. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.67. The firm last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. Arch Capital had 3:1 split on the 21st of June 2018. Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products worldwide. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda. Arch Capital operates under InsuranceDiversified classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 5200 people. For more info on Arch Capital Group please contact Nicolas Papadopoulo at 441 278 9250 or go to https://www.archgroup.com.

Arch Capital Group Investment Alerts

Arch Capital Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres How Much a 1000 Investment in Arch Capital Group Made 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

Arch Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Arch Capital's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2002-11-06
2002-09-300.030.040.0133 
2002-08-09
2002-06-300.020.030.0150 
2002-05-14
2002-03-310.010.020.01100 
View All Earnings Estimates

Arch Capital Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Arch Capital's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Arch Capital's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Arch Capital's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Arch Capital's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Arch Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Norges Bank2025-06-30
4.8 M
Madison Asset Management, Llc2025-06-30
4.8 M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2025-06-30
4.5 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
4.3 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2025-06-30
4.3 M
Egerton Capital Llp2025-06-30
4.2 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
4.2 M
Amvescap Plc.2025-06-30
4.1 M
Nuveen, Llc2025-06-30
M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
42.4 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
32.9 M
Note, although Arch Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arch Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 37.68 B.

Arch Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.21 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.31 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.31.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.20 

Management Efficiency

Arch Capital Group has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.039 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.039 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1781 %, meaning that it created $0.1781 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Arch Capital's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Arch Capital manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.06 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.06 this year. At this time, Arch Capital's Return On Assets are quite stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 50.30  52.82 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 47.04  49.39 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 8.57  8.14 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.49  0.87 
Enterprise Value Multiple 8.57  8.14 
Price Fair Value 1.49  0.87 
Enterprise Value22.5 B23.6 B
At Arch Capital Group, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Operating Margin
0.3069
Profit Margin
0.2096
Beta
0.381
Return On Assets
0.039
Return On Equity
0.1781

Technical Drivers

As of the 8th of February, Arch Capital shows the mean deviation of 0.8105, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1916. Arch Capital Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Arch Capital Group information ratio, and the relationship between the downside deviation and value at risk to decide if Arch Capital Group is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 100.95 per share. Given that Arch Capital has jensen alpha of 0.2372, we suggest you to validate Arch Capital Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Arch Capital Group Price Movement Analysis

Illegal number of arguments. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Weighted Moving Average calculates a weight for each value in Arch Capital price series with the more recent values given greater weights.

Arch Capital Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Arch Capital insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Arch Capital's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Arch Capital insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Arch Capital Outstanding Bonds

Arch Capital issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Arch Capital Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Arch bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Arch Capital Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Arch Capital Predictive Daily Indicators

Arch Capital intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Arch Capital stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Arch Capital Corporate Filings

8K
22nd of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
16th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
11th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
20th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
7th of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of November 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Arch Capital Forecast Models

Arch Capital's time-series forecasting models are one of many Arch Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Arch Capital's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Arch Capital Bond Ratings

Arch Capital Group financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Arch Capital have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Arch Capital's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
4
PoorView
Beneish M Score
(2.68)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Arch Capital Group Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Arch Capital, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Arch Capital Group currently holds 2.73 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.23, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Arch Capital Group has a current ratio of 1.87, which is within standard range for the sector. Note, when we think about Arch Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Arch Capital Total Assets Over Time

Arch Capital Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Arch Capital uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Arch Capital Debt Ratio

    
  3.73   
It seems most of the Arch Capital's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Arch Capital's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Arch Capital, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Arch Capital Corporate Bonds Issued

Arch Capital issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the most significant components of the U.S. bond market and are considered the world's largest securities market. Arch Capital Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt.

Arch Net Debt

Net Debt

2.11 Billion

At this time, Arch Capital's Net Debt is quite stable compared to the past year.

About Arch Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Arch Capital prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Arch shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Arch Capital. By using and applying Arch Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Arch entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.25  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.24  0.14 
Net Profit Margin 0.23  0.12 
Gross Profit Margin 0.32  0.23 

Current Arch Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Arch analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Arch analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
107.95Strong Buy14Odds
Arch Capital Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Arch analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Arch stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Arch Capital Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Arch conference calls.
Arch Analyst Advice Details

Arch Stock Analysis Indicators

Arch Capital Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Arch Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Arch Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Arch Capital stock analysis, traders can identify Arch Capital position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.5 B
Total Stockholder Equity20.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments9.3 B
Cash979 M
50 Day M A94.3602
Net Interest Income-141 M
Total Current Liabilities4.3 B
Forward Price Earnings10.989
Investments-4.5 B
Interest Expense141 M
Stock Based Compensation133 M
Long Term Debt2.7 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding381.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-4.5 B
Tax Provision362 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.391
Other Current Assets-25.4 B
Accounts Payable4.3 B
Net Debt1.7 B
Other Operating Expenses12.5 B
Non Current Assets Total1.4 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity70.9 B
Non Currrent Assets Other-41 B
When determining whether Arch Capital Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Arch Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Arch Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Arch Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arch Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arch Capital. If investors know Arch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Arch Capital assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.391
Earnings Share
10.67
Revenue Per Share
52.56
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
Return On Assets
0.039
Investors evaluate Arch Capital Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Arch Capital's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Arch Capital's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Arch Capital's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Arch Capital represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Arch Capital's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.